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Ebola. Latest developments thread.

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First Ebola case diagnosed in the US

Centers for Disease Control to announce details involving patient whose recent travel history reportedly indicated Ebola case

The US Centers for Disease Control is to confirm on Tuesday the first case of Ebola diagnosed in the United States.

It is understood that the patient was being treated at a hospital in Dallas. Further details will be given in a news briefing at 5.30pm ET.

The Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital in Dallas said in a statement on Monday that the patient’s symptoms and recent travel indicated a case of Ebola, according to the Associated Press. The patient was being kept in strict isolation.

The virus has killed more than 3,000 people across west Africa.

More details soon …

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/sep/30/first-ebola-case-diagnosed-us

patient zero

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Its now confirmed as ebola

[Link]

Glad I have a 45 day supply of food on hand, if it spreads to just 1 other person 350,000,000 fragile eggshell minds will shatter and there'll be mayhem in the streets. People in stores stabbing each other over the last box of pop tarts n shit.

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Ebola crisis: Scientists predict airline passengers could bring the virus to Europe within weeks

Updated

6 Oct 2014, 7:53amMon 6 Oct 2014, 7:53am

Scientists are predicting that there is a 75 per cent chance the Ebola virus could reach Europe before the end of the month.

Virus experts have used Ebola spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict that by October 24, there is a 75 per cent chance Ebola will have spread to France and a 50 per cent likelihood it will have been imported into Britain.

"It's really a lottery," Derek Gatherer from Britain's Lancaster University said.

He has based the predictions on the airline capacity remaining the same but even if the number of travellers is cut by 80 per cent to reflect flights to the region stopping, France's risk is still 25 per cent and Britain's is 15 per cent.

The deadly Ebola haemorrhagic fever virus has killed more than 3,400 people since it began in West Africa in March and has now started to spread faster, infecting almost 7,200 people so far.

In recent weeks, it has been spread to Nigeria, Senegal and the United States - where the first case was diagnosed on Tuesday in a man who flew in from Liberia - by unwitting travellers carrying the virus.

The scientific data suggests France is among countries most likely to be hit next because the worst-affected countries - Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia - include French speakers and have busy travel routes back.

Britain's Heathrow airport is one of the world's biggest travel hubs.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has not placed any restrictions on travel and has encouraged airlines to keep flying to the worst-hit countries while British Airways and Emirates airlines have suspended some flights.

But the professor who led the research said the risks change every day the epidemic continues.

"This is not a deterministic list, it's about probabilities - but those probabilities are growing for everyone," Alex Vespignani from Northeastern University in Boston said.

"It's just a matter of who gets lucky and who gets unlucky."

US patient in critical condition

Meanwhile, the first person diagnosed with Ebola in the United States was fighting for his life at a Dallas hospital.

Thomas Eric Duncan became ill after arriving from Liberia two weeks ago.

A spokesman for the Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital said he remained in a critical condition.

The head of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said he was scheduled to brief president Barack Obama on the issue on Monday.

Dr Thomas Frieden told reporters he understood Mr Duncan had not received any of the experimental medicines for the virus.

He said doses of the experimental medicine ZMapp were "all gone" and the drug was "not going to be available anytime soon" while a second experimental drug could be difficult to use and could actually make someone sicker.

"As far as we understand, experimental medicine is not being used," Dr Frieden said.

"It's really up to his treating physicians, himself, his family what treatment to take."

In the US state of Nebraska, a hospital said it was preparing for the arrival of an Ebola patient who contracted the virus in Liberia.

Nebraska Medical Center spokesman Taylor Wilson would only identify the patient as a male US citizen, due to arrive on Monday.

But the father of Ashoka Mukpo, a freelance cameraman working for NBC News who contracted Ebola in Liberia, told reporters his son was going to Nebraska for treatment.

Reuters

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-10-06/scientists-say-high-risk-ebola-could-reach-europe-by-end-of-mon/5791804

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http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/oct/04/ebola-zaire-peter-piot-outbreak

I am still wondering why we are letting casual travellers in and out of these areas, aid and medical personnel aside. It appears relatively contained in this small area right now, but the likelihood of it getting out is clearly increasing. And it's not just the first few people to arrive here in the West, it's if it spreads to India or South America. I suspect China and the Middle East would deal with potential outbreaks very ruthlessly, but elsewhere it might just get out of control. Within a few years ebola might become endemic pretty much globally, hindering travel (which seems unlikely) or just popping up randomly all over the place. Our health system might cope for a while but we'll end up having ebola centres for dealing with regular outbreaks. This should really have been nipped in the bud, but daily it becomes more difficult to deal with and daily our governments refuse to take it seriously, instead increasing security powers to attack minorities and spending millions on wars overseas which have fuck-all to do with us.

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Yeah, the whole thing seems lop sided and misdirected.

On one hand, outside of africa, people are being held under quarantine at gunpoint if they have been exposed or are suspected to have been exposed.

On the other hand, in the hard hit nations its just an orgy of frivolous travel, people going to liberia for the weekend to see their uncles new goat and shit. Politicians insisting that the borders cant be closed because that would cause economic harm. Who gives a shit about the million that would die if it hits india or brazil.

At the borders its "oh, you came from a death pit, an orgy of blood and vomit? Tell me the truth, are you dieing? no? Next!" While it could be "I see you were in an infected zone, congratulations, you just won a free mandatory stay in a hotel while we see if you start vomiting blood" But we cant do that, typhoid mary had civil rights (oh wait, cant use that similie, the courts deemed typhoid mary didnt have any right to infect others)

On another facet you have the hospitals, fancy ebola hospitals set up by foreigners with one twentieth the bed space needed. What would a rational person do when the state of the art imported insta-hospital is filled? Oh, right, put up big fucking tents with cots and teach the mildly ill how to care for the nearly dead as their payment for being there- bam, bed space for 100,000. What are they doing? "Sorry sir, we see your vomiting infectious blood but you'll have to hitch hike 147 kilometers back to your village because we're all full at the million dollar isolation ward"

Who the hell runs shit this way?

Edited by Auxin
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a part of me feels like this is a global plot for population control........

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Officials look for possible Ebola patient contact

Photographer covering Ebola

http://medicalxpress.com/news/2014-10-ebola-world.html

I know its no laughing matter....but a wheelborrow smurf ambulance.... :scratchhead:

maybe the us might be kind enough to send them some hummers instead of shipping them to ISIS

http://medicalxpress.com/news/2014-10-uganda-marburg-fever.html

Edited by Dreamwalker.
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MADRID, Oct 6 (Reuters) - A Spanish nurse who last month treated a priest in Madrid who died of Ebola has tested positive for the disease, becoming the first to contract it outside West Africa, a source within the health authorities said on Monday.

The nurse treated elderly priest Manuel Garcia Viejo at the Madrid hospital Carlos III when he was repatriated from Sierra Leone with the disease.

Garcia Viejo died days later, the second Spanish priest to die after being repatriated from Africa with the disease.

The source said the nurse had tested positive for Ebola in initial tests and officials were awaiting final results.

Two separate sources within the health authorities told Reuters the nurse was treated in the hospital of Alcorcon, on the outskirts of Madrid, where she went earlier on Monday with symptoms of fever.

Spain's Health Ministry was due to hold a news conference to give further information at 1800 GMT. (Writing by Sarah Morris; Editing by Julien Toyer)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/10/06/spain-nurse-ebola_n_5940736.html

lol

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Meant to revisit my post and see what had actually happened.

On 5th Sept there were 1,871 cases.

My estimated cases for 6th October was 1,871 x 3.78 = 7,072

Actual Figures for 05 oct 2014 cases in Liberia = ≥3,924

So not so terrible, but the number of reported cases was still double, which is pretty high. Is it slowing? Is the aid working? Are they finding it more difficult to report cases, or are the earlier estimates highly inaccurate? Not that we shouldn't take it seriously, as it is still heading upwards at a strong rate and it's starting to crop up all over the world now.

I'm concerned that a few Western countries have had scares but places like China and India aren't really reporting anything.

Latest I heard that Connecticut had declared a state of medical emergency which allows them to quarantine anyone who has symptoms of ebola (or basically anyone with an apparent medical condition) which has some libertarians in a bit of a tizz but sounds reasonably sane preparation to me.

http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/local/Governor-Declares-State-of-Emergency-Over-Ebola-as-a-Precaution-278378881.html

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Too busy being sued by north american corporations

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Spanish medics blame budget cuts for Ebola infection

"Doctors and nurses blame the shock Ebola infection in Madrid on Spanish government cuts that closed a top disease isolation unit."

UN envoy: Ebola cases doubling every 3-4 weeks

Brazil quarantines Guinean feared to have Ebola

Edited by Dreamwalker.

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ebola zombies you guys this is huge

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"Zombie" and "My resources are too limited for me to pay proper attention to vital signs" are vastly different
Pretty certain this falls into the latter category seeing how there are limiting factors on what a biological system can do.

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besides it was a hoax, but it's still funny

"AN INVASION OF ISIS EBOLA ZOMBIES WHAT DO WE DO WHAT DO WE DOOOO!"

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US confirms first case of Ebola contracted on US soil

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention confirmed Sunday that a Texas health care worker has tested positive for Ebola—the first case contracted on American soil.

"This development is understandably disturbing news for the patient, the patient's family and colleagues and the greater Dallas community," the CDC said in a statement.

"The CDC and the Texas Department of State Health Services remain confident that wider spread in the community can be prevented with proper public health measures."

The infected Dallas hospital worker helped care for Thomas Eric Duncan, a Liberian man who was diagnosed with Ebola in the United States last month and died on Wednesday.

The case has sparked a CDC investigation and a hunt for more health care workers who may have been exposed to the dangerous virus.

"Careful monitoring of all health care workers who had interaction with the index patient and this second patient is warranted," the CDC said.

The health care worker remains in isolation, it added.

[Link]

As I feared, its beginning its spread in the US just weeks ahead of the start of flu season.

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"Hospital officials said the employee had worn full protective clothing during all contact with Duncan. Dr Tom Frieden, the CDC director, warned in a media briefing on Sunday that other hospital staff could also have been exposed to the virus and may show symptoms in the coming days."

This is an increasingly regular refrain, how health workers have taken the precautions but still somehow been infected anyway.

It is a huge source of concern just how many health workers have contracted the virus. It must be more easily transmissible than they have let on.

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